Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1161.478991 1316.378263 1487.696910 1691.820167 1929.168606 2197.351757 2524.588894
2025-10-05 949.239455 1161.548807 1418.313136 1754.331295 2186.315109 2728.207586 3467.646324
2025-10-12 820.698083 1056.403419 1358.985356 1781.149647 2363.293559 3150.215551 4315.928683
2025-10-19 727.072395 973.965201 1306.285345 1794.535369 2507.678584 3533.801823 5164.246571
2025-10-26 655.290415 907.766650 1261.518895 1804.842253 2639.192254 3907.873526 6055.118284
2025-11-02 609.256685 870.041193 1249.042425 1855.455499 2831.273054 4394.698054 7206.693971
2025-11-09 566.277495 830.653930 1227.549585 1886.337890 2992.398675 4851.758776 8391.554073
2025-11-16 527.531150 792.731856 1202.726428 1906.460657 3135.191454 5295.644196 9636.399116
2025-11-23 494.357248 759.591399 1180.930726 1927.136762 3279.056404 5760.127511 11011.904833
2025-11-30 468.236741 734.808924 1169.384744 1962.549716 3451.997536 6302.769903 12658.486343
2025-12-07 429.342748 685.313869 1111.427306 1908.427237 3449.753604 6504.348218 13617.659921
2025-12-14 394.776465 640.052166 1056.311834 1852.777746 3436.014106 6678.400137 14549.360149
2025-12-21 361.117711 594.296264 997.424196 1785.891209 3395.732890 6800.559933 15413.743613
2025-12-28 350.300509 587.533107 1007.461648 1852.250775 3637.791217 7576.395551 18097.977562
2026-01-04 335.148038 571.616788 999.042878 1880.822442 3803.526798 8210.131444 20589.265598
2026-01-11 319.507469 553.439398 984.559209 1895.081609 3939.478432 8798.311559 23124.575694
2026-01-18 304.838890 535.831400 969.454768 1906.061926 4069.243422 9395.267432 25865.824745
2026-01-25 296.208211 528.864763 974.309774 1959.991355 4307.299567 10314.603568 29901.269509
2026-02-01 285.884714 517.785486 969.892880 1992.904592 4499.534154 11152.034299 33963.562748
2026-02-08 275.138524 505.029877 960.891815 2014.353630 4666.427303 11954.507840 38199.491770
2026-02-15 265.207034 493.131872 952.592265 2036.394904 4838.326765 12808.562210 42955.155323
2026-02-22 257.343603 484.806820 951.055320 2074.151702 5058.023747 13854.884001 48890.246984
2026-03-01 241.855041 459.787777 911.728781 2016.449951 5008.497029 14056.348446 51452.406765